tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 22:55 SJC → 05:00 MDW
    WN 3886 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 MDW → 08:45 DCA +1 day
    WN 4976 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip6h 50mSJC 22:55 to DCA 08:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.