tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Milwaukee via Nashville: arrives on time 23%

  1. 14:30 STL → 15:40 BNA
    WN 3888 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 BNA → 18:05 MKE
    WN 4733 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip3h 35mSTL 14:30 to MKE 18:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.