tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → New York via Houston: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:55 STL → 10:00 HOU
    WN 3928 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 HOU → 15:45 LGA
    WN 2014 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 59% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 50mSTL 07:55 to LGA 15:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.