tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:20 BWI → 10:20 ATL
    WN 3931 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:36 ATL → 13:57 MEM
    DL 1681 · Delta · 1h 21m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 37mBWI 08:20 to MEM 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.