tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 STL → 07:25 LAS
    WN 3934 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:56 LAS → 11:08 PHX
    AA 2004 · American · 1h 12m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 08mSTL 06:00 to PHX 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.