tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:00 STL → 07:25 LAS
    WN 3934 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 LAS → 11:10 SMF
    WN 1122 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 10mSTL 06:00 to SMF 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.