tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 STL → 07:25 LAS
    WN 3934 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 LAS → 11:00 PHX
    WN 2310 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 00mSTL 06:00 to PHX 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.