tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 STL → 07:25 LAS
    WN 3934 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 LAS → 10:05 SMF
    WN 860 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip6h 05mSTL 06:00 to SMF 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.