tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:20 STL → 14:30 PHX
    WN 3968 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 PHX → 17:10 LAX
    WN 2388 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip5h 50mSTL 13:20 to LAX 17:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.