tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Philadelphia via Tampa: arrives on time 87%

  1. 05:05 STL → 08:25 TPA
    WN 3985 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:48 TPA → 13:26 PHL
    AA 2807 · American · 2h 39m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 22mSTL 05:05 to PHL 13:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.