tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Nashville via Tampa: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:05 STL → 08:25 TPA
    WN 3985 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 TPA → 10:20 BNA
    WN 4002 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 20mSTL 05:05 to BNA 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.