tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Las Vegas via San Jose: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:15 AUS → 17:50 SJC
    WN 399 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Jose (SJC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 SJC → 20:20 LAS
    WN 2335 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 05mAUS 16:15 to LAS 20:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.