tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Tulsa via Austin: arrives on time 33%

  1. 13:50 MCO → 15:35 AUS
    WN 399 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 AUS → 18:00 TUL
    WN 4782 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 10mMCO 13:50 to TUL 18:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.