tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:55 STS → 17:40 LAS
    WN 3992 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 LAS → 22:42 PHX
    WN 1914 · Southwest · 1h 18m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 48mSTS 15:55 to PHX 22:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.