tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Burbank via Las Vegas: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:00 BNA → 08:50 LAS
    WN 3993 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 LAS → 10:55 BUR
    WN 2198 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 55mBNA 07:00 to BUR 10:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.