tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → New York via Orlando: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:35 STT → 17:40 MCO
    WN 3995 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:04 MCO → 23:00 JFK
    B6 884 · JetBlue · 2h 55m · 53% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip8h 24mSTT 14:35 to JFK 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.