tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 22%

  1. 17:50 DAL → 18:45 SAN
    WN 40 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:01 SAN → 22:41 OAK
    AS 2285 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 40m · 35% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip6h 51mDAL 17:50 to OAK 22:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.