tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → El Paso via San Diego: arrives on time 15%

  1. 17:50 DAL → 18:45 SAN
    WN 40 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 SAN → 23:05 ELP
    WN 3498 · Southwest · 1h 52m · 24% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (24%).
Total trip6h 12mDAL 17:50 to ELP 23:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.