tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Dallas: arrives on time 13%

  1. 16:00 HOU → 17:10 DAL
    WN 40 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 75% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 DAL → 22:22 LGA
    WN 4852 · Southwest · 3h 22m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (19%).
Total trip5h 22mHOU 16:00 to LGA 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.