tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Los Angeles via Las Vegas: arrives on time 48%

  1. 11:40 MEM → 13:05 LAS
    WN 4013 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:15 LAS → 15:30 LAX
    WN 255 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 50mMEM 11:40 to LAX 15:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.