tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → New Orleans via Houston: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:40 TPA → 06:55 HOU
    WN 4023 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 HOU → 12:00 MSY
    WN 2051 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 20mTPA 05:40 to MSY 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.