tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Kansas City via Houston: arrives on time 33%

  1. 20:40 TPA → 21:55 HOU
    WN 4025 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 52% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 HOU → 00:55 MCI +1 day
    WN 2030 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 13mTPA 20:40 to MCI 00:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.