tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:20 TPA → 07:00 MDW
    WN 4031 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:05 MDW → 11:20 LGA
    WN 2038 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip6h 00mTPA 05:20 to LGA 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.