tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 87%

  1. 05:20 TPA → 07:00 MDW
    WN 4031 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:52 MDW → 10:25 BUF
    WN 758 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 02mTPA 05:20 to BUF 10:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.