tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Rochester via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 09:10 MCO → 10:55 MDW
    WN 4037 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 MDW → 15:55 ROC
    WN 2877 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 45mMCO 09:10 to ROC 15:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.