tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Francisco via St Louis: arrives on time 23%

  1. 05:52 TPA → 07:15 STL
    WN 4048 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 STL → 10:20 SFO
    WN 3982 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 23% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (23%).
Total trip7h 28mTPA 05:52 to SFO 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.