tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → New Orleans via St Louis: arrives on time 92%

  1. 05:52 TPA → 07:15 STL
    WN 4048 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 STL → 10:10 MSY
    WN 4780 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 18mTPA 05:52 to MSY 10:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.