tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Chicago via Nashville: arrives on time 43%

  1. 07:35 TUL → 09:10 BNA
    WN 4051 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 BNA → 12:20 MDW
    WN 575 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 45mTUL 07:35 to MDW 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.