tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Chicago via Dallas: arrives on time 54%

  1. 10:10 TUL → 11:15 DAL
    WN 4053 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 84% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:05 DAL → 16:20 MDW
    WN 1358 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 60% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 10mTUL 10:10 to MDW 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.