tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 92%

  1. 06:00 TUL → 06:50 LAS
    WN 4055 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:56 LAS → 11:08 PHX
    AA 2004 · American · 1h 12m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 08mTUL 06:00 to PHX 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.