tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Los Angeles via Las Vegas: arrives on time 25%

  1. 20:35 TUL → 21:25 LAS
    WN 4056 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 LAS → 23:45 LAX
    WN 1056 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 10mTUL 20:35 to LAX 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.