tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Atlanta via Las Vegas: arrives on time 56%

  1. 20:35 TUL → 21:25 LAS
    WN 4056 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 LAS → 05:45 ATL +1 day
    WN 2179 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 10mTUL 20:35 to ATL 05:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.