tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Long Beach via Sacramento: arrives on time 62%

  1. 16:05 AUS → 17:40 SMF
    WN 406 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 SMF → 21:02 LGB
    WN 4934 · Southwest · 1h 28m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 58mAUS 16:05 to LGB 21:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.