tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 56%

  1. 17:10 BDL → 18:35 BWI
    WN 4075 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 49% on time, 8.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 BWI → 23:50 TPA
    WN 4578 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (8.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 45mBDL 17:10 to TPA 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.