tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Nashville via Baltimore: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:10 BDL → 18:35 BWI
    WN 4075 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 49% on time, 8.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 BWI → 20:50 BNA
    WN 687 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 50% on time, 15.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (8.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (15.4% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 40mBDL 17:10 to BNA 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.