tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Dallas via Las Vegas: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:05 RNO → 17:30 LAS
    WN 4078 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 LAS → 23:30 DAL
    WN 2221 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip5h 25mRNO 16:05 to DAL 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.