tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Denver via Las Vegas: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:05 RNO → 17:30 LAS
    WN 4078 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 LAS → 21:25 DEN
    WN 3843 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 50% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 20mRNO 16:05 to DEN 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.