tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Des Moines via Chicago: arrives on time 21%

  1. 15:55 PHX → 21:15 MDW
    WN 4085 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 MDW → 23:35 DSM
    WN 4279 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 12 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 40mPHX 15:55 to DSM 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.