tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Chicago via Orlando: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:25 MIA → 06:30 MCO
    WN 4086 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:25 MCO → 09:15 MDW
    WN 2654 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 50mMIA 05:25 to MDW 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.