tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Las Vegas via Orlando: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:25 MIA → 06:30 MCO
    WN 4086 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MCO → 11:45 LAS
    WN 4696 · Southwest · 4h 45m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 20mMIA 05:25 to LAS 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.