tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Pensacola via St Louis: arrives on time 57%

  1. 11:30 AUS → 13:35 STL
    WN 409 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 STL → 16:40 PNS
    WN 279 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 10mAUS 11:30 to PNS 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.