tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Omaha → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:25 OMA → 17:50 MDW
    WN 4094 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 43% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 MDW → 21:50 HOU
    WN 1431 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 51% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 25mOMA 16:25 to HOU 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.