tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Burbank via Sacramento: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:50 DEN → 17:25 SMF
    WN 4096 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 48% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:38 SMF → 19:52 BUR
    WN 3360 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 03mDEN 15:50 to BUR 19:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.