tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Santa Ana via Sacramento: arrives on time 84%

  1. 15:50 DEN → 17:25 SMF
    WN 4096 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 48% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 SMF → 22:15 SNA
    WN 3837 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 27mDEN 15:50 to SNA 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.