tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Salt Lake City via Denver: arrives on time 16%

  1. 13:40 SMF → 17:00 DEN
    WN 4105 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DEN → 19:35 SLC
    WN 1734 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip4h 55mSMF 13:40 to SLC 19:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.