tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Fort Lauderdale via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 16:45 BOS → 18:35 MDW
    WN 4106 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 54% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 MDW → 23:30 FLL
    WN 2777 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 50mBOS 16:45 to FLL 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.