tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Baltimore via Nashville: arrives on time 19%

  1. 18:05 VPS → 19:35 BNA
    WN 4108 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 BNA → 23:15 BWI
    WN 468 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip4h 10mVPS 18:05 to BWI 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.