tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:40 BNA → 15:45 SAN
    WN 4111 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:37 SAN → 19:11 SJC
    AS 3068 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 70% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 31mBNA 13:40 to SJC 19:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.