tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 35%

  1. 13:40 BNA → 15:45 SAN
    WN 4111 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 SAN → 18:30 SJC
    WN 3541 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 50mBNA 13:40 to SJC 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.