tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 86%

  1. 23:55 ANC → 06:00 LAS
    WN 4112 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 LAS → 09:15 PHX +1 day
    WN 209 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 20mANC 23:55 to PHX 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.